Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.056101 0.066469 0.078100 0.092100 0.108477 0.127014 0.149570
2025-04-27 0.040500 0.053929 0.070711 0.093154 0.122304 0.158807 0.207900
2025-05-04 0.031350 0.045733 0.065279 0.093626 0.133511 0.187425 0.265597
2025-05-11 0.025642 0.040359 0.061794 0.095031 0.144953 0.216756 0.327376
2025-05-18 0.022044 0.037058 0.060278 0.098410 0.158970 0.250790 0.399690
2025-05-25 0.017972 0.032115 0.055233 0.095256 0.162146 0.268546 0.449292
2025-06-01 0.015373 0.029039 0.052529 0.095178 0.169801 0.293700 0.513064
2025-06-08 0.013104 0.026083 0.049468 0.093863 0.174926 0.314978 0.572606
2025-06-15 0.011752 0.024545 0.048612 0.096195 0.186516 0.348279 0.656294
2025-06-22 0.010200 0.022328 0.046122 0.095060 0.191500 0.370317 0.722276
2025-06-29 0.008762 0.020074 0.043191 0.092579 0.193479 0.386881 0.779798
2025-07-06 0.007497 0.017954 0.040184 0.089457 0.193676 0.399911 0.831796
2025-07-13 0.006804 0.016999 0.039501 0.091152 0.204049 0.434278 0.930364
2025-07-20 0.006113 0.015926 0.038407 0.091816 0.212384 0.465606 1.026656
2025-07-27 0.005493 0.014909 0.037273 0.092207 0.220143 0.496574 1.125676
2025-08-03 0.005013 0.014150 0.036614 0.093577 0.230227 0.533531 1.241498
2025-08-10 0.004697 0.013759 0.036773 0.096903 0.245207 0.582750 1.389459
2025-08-17 0.004085 0.012452 0.034451 0.093795 0.244549 0.596942 1.460484
2025-08-24 0.003694 0.011686 0.033394 0.093718 0.251218 0.628581 1.574928
2025-08-31 0.003298 0.010828 0.031954 0.092422 0.254651 0.652956 1.674885
2025-09-07 0.003086 0.010484 0.031862 0.094720 0.267583 0.701503 1.838048
2025-09-14 0.002774 0.009764 0.030598 0.093602 0.271374 0.727987 1.949824
2025-09-21 0.002454 0.008957 0.028954 0.091157 0.271258 0.744621 2.038663